Tsunami evacuation modelling as a tool for risk reduction: application to the coastal area of El Salvador
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González-Riancho Calzada, Pino; Aguirre Ayerbe, Ignacio; Aniel-Quiroga Zorrilla, Íñigo; Abad Herrero, Sheila; González Rodríguez, Ernesto Mauricio

Date
2013-12-13Derechos
Atribución 3.0 España
Publicado en
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2013, 13, 3249-3270
Publisher
Copernicus Publications
Abstract:
ABSTRACT. Advances in the understanding and prediction of
tsunami impacts allow the development of risk reduction
strategies for tsunami-prone areas. This paper presents an integral
framework for the formulation of tsunami evacuation
plans based on tsunami vulnerability assessment and evacuation
modelling. This framework considers (i) the hazard aspects
(tsunami flooding characteristics and arrival time), (ii)
the characteristics of the exposed area (people, shelters and
road network), (iii) the current tsunami warning procedures
and timing, (iv) the time needed to evacuate the population,
and (v) the identification of measures to improve the evacuation
process. The proposed methodological framework aims
to bridge between risk assessment and risk management in
terms of tsunami evacuation, as it allows for an estimation
of the degree of evacuation success of specific management
options, as well as for the classification and prioritization of
the gathered information, in order to formulate an optimal
evacuation plan. The framework has been applied to the El
Salvador case study, demonstrating its applicability to sitespecific
response times and population characteristics.
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